Third-quarter oil sands production up 17%
CALGARY, Oct. 29, 2015 /CNW/ - Cenovus Energy Inc. (TSX: CVE) (NYSE: CVE) continues to make significant progress in reducing its costs while delivering strong operational performance and oil sands production growth. The company is benefiting from the decisive steps taken over the past year to increase its financial resilience in the face of what is expected to be a prolonged period of lower oil prices.
"We're delivering on the commitments we made at the outset of 2015 to improve Cenovus's position as a low-cost producer," said Brian Ferguson, Cenovus President & Chief Executive Officer. "We've realized substantial, sustainable cost reductions, maintained capital discipline and strengthened our balance sheet. We will continue to look for additional opportunities to reduce costs, become more efficient and enhance shareholder value."
Third quarter highlights
Production & financial summary |
||||
(For the period ended September 30) |
2015 |
2014 |
% change |
|
Oil sands (bbls/d) |
146,743 |
125,089 |
17 |
|
Conventional oil1 (bbls/d) |
63,679 |
74,000 |
-14 |
|
Total oil (bbls/d) |
210,422 |
199,089 |
6 |
|
Natural gas (MMcf/d) |
430 |
489 |
-12 |
|
Financial ($ millions, except per share amounts) |
||||
Cash flow2 |
444 |
985 |
-55 |
|
Per share diluted |
0.53 |
1.30 |
||
Operating earnings (loss)2 |
(28) |
372 |
-108 |
|
Per share diluted |
(0.03) |
0.49 |
||
Net earnings |
1,801 |
354 |
409 |
|
Per share diluted |
2.16 |
0.47 |
||
Capital investment3 |
400 |
750 |
-47 |
1 Includes natural gas liquids (NGLs) and the impact of non-core asset |
2 Cash flow and operating earnings are non-GAAP measures as defined |
3 Excludes acquisitions and divestitures. |
Overview
Cenovus continues to take action to reduce its cost structures to be competitive with light tight oil producers in the U.S. and address the more than 50% decline in benchmark crude oil prices since mid-2014. The company committed earlier this year to streamline its operations and become more efficient to help ensure it is positioned for long-term success during a prolonged period of lower oil prices. To date, the company has achieved meaningful and sustainable improvements in its operating, capital and general and administrative (G&A) costs and reduced the size of its workforce. To align with current market conditions, the company has also made changes to its compensation, benefits and time-off practices, effective in 2016. Cenovus realized significant value for shareholders by selling its royalty interest and fee land business in July for gross cash proceeds of $3.3 billion. Earlier this year, Cenovus also raised capital by issuing common shares and reducing its quarterly dividend as part of the company's strategy to maintain its long-term financial resilience.
Successful cost reductions
The company's cost reduction efforts have progressed at a faster pace than expected. Cenovus is now anticipating total 2015 cost savings of approximately $400 million – significantly higher than its July forecast of $280 million in cost reductions and original April forecast of $200 million in cost reductions for the year. Of Cenovus's targeted 2015 savings, about 65% are expected to come from operating and G&A cost improvements, with the remaining 35% anticipated to come from reduced capital costs. Cenovus anticipates about 60% of the $400 million in savings would be sustainable, even with oil prices recovering to between US$60 per barrel (bbl) and US$65/bbl West Texas Intermediate (WTI).
These cost reductions are being achieved across the company. They include savings related to improved drilling efficiency, optimized scheduling and prioritization of repair and maintenance activities, lower chemical costs and better oil sands waste disposal and handling processes. Some of the savings are the result of work that has been deferred.
In addition to its $400 million overall cost-reduction target for 2015, Cenovus expects to achieve significant additional structural cost savings from its workforce reduction program.
In July, the company said it anticipated reducing the size of its workforce by another 300 to 400 positions through the remainder of the year, following an initial round of staff cuts made in February. The company has since identified additional workforce efficiencies and reduced its staff count by 700 positions for the second half of the year, double its July forecast. As a result, Cenovus anticipates finishing 2015 with 24% fewer staff than it had at the end of 2014. The cost savings associated with these workforce reductions are expected to be at least $100 million annually, starting in 2016. Cenovus incurred severance costs of about $3 million in the third quarter and expects to incur additional severance costs of approximately $32 million in the fourth quarter related to its most recent round of staff reductions. Cenovus has completed a review of its compensation, benefits and time-off practices to make sure they are aligned with those of its peers and with market conditions, while remaining competitive and allowing the company to continue to attract and retain talented staff. As a result of this review, the company will be making changes to these practices starting in 2016.
"We've made difficult, but necessary decisions to help us remain financially resilient," said Ferguson. "It's important that the size of our workforce matches our more moderate approach to oil sands growth and our reduced cash flow in a lower commodity price environment."
As previously announced, Cenovus expects to make additional staff reductions in 2016 as a result of the company's transition to a functional organizational model.
Financial performance
In the third quarter, upstream operating cash flow declined 48% to $570 million primarily due to a 56% decrease in Cenovus's average crude oil sales price and a 29% decline in its average natural gas sales price. The impact of lower sales prices on upstream operating cash flow was partially offset by realized risk management gains of $206 million on oil and natural gas production, lower royalties due to the weaker crude oil sales prices and a 22% reduction in crude oil operating expenses. Operating cash flow from refining and marketing declined 57% to $29 million. Total operating cash flow was $599 million, a 48% decrease compared with the third quarter of 2014.
Cash flow was $444 million in the third quarter, 55% lower than in the same period in 2014 primarily due to lower crude oil and natural gas sales prices.
Cenovus has significantly strengthened its balance sheet in 2015 with the divestiture of its royalty and fee land business in July 2015 and the $1.5 billion common share issuance that closed in March 2015. The company's net debt to capitalization ratio was 13% and net debt to adjusted EBITDA was 0.8 times, on a trailing 12-month basis, at September 30, 2015.
"We have one of the strongest balance sheets in the industry with about $4.4 billion of cash and cash equivalents," said Ferguson. "Cenovus is well positioned to thrive in a lower-for-longer commodity price environment, and we'll continue to be prudent, directing capital only to projects that meet our stringent investment hurdles."
Oil sands growth
Oil sands production from Cenovus's Foster Creek and Christina Lake steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) projects increased 17% in the third quarter of 2015 compared with the same period a year earlier. The increase was the result of the ramp-up of new wells associated with phase F at Foster Creek, improved facility performance and some flush production at Foster Creek after operations were temporarily shut down late in the second quarter due to a nearby forest fire. As expected, flush production has tapered off and production rates have returned to pre-forest fire levels.
Cenovus's oil sands business achieved solid operating cost reductions of $2.86/bbl in the third quarter compared with the same period a year earlier. Total operating costs were $9.55/bbl, a 23% decrease from the third quarter of 2014. Increased production, workforce reductions and lower fuel and electricity expenses contributed to the oil sands per-unit operating cost savings in the third quarter. Year to date, Cenovus has also achieved operating cost reductions from improved prioritization of its repair and maintenance activities as well as lower workover costs due to fewer electric submersible pump (ESP) replacements.
The company's Christina Lake optimization project was completed on time and below budget, with incremental oil production expected to ramp up over a period of 12 months. The project is designed to increase steam generating capacity and optimize oil treating. Christina Lake's phase F expansion is nearing completion, with first oil expected in the second half of 2016. At Foster Creek, the phase G expansion remains on track for expected production late in the first half of 2016. These three expansion projects are expected to add approximately 100,000 barrels per day (bbls/d) of incremental gross production capacity (50,000 bbls/d net), an increase of about 35% to the company's current oil sands production capacity.
Disciplined capital allocation
In the third quarter of 2015, the company invested $272 million in its oil sands assets, $55 million in conventional oil and natural gas, $67 million in its refineries and $6 million in corporate activities. Cenovus expects total capital spending for 2015 of $1.8 billion to $1.9 billion, in line with the company's budget for the year and almost 40% below 2014 spending levels.
"We have tested our financial capacity and even at prices as low as US$45 per barrel WTI through 2017, we believe we can fund our sustaining and growth capital as well as our current dividend level," said Ferguson. "We also believe we have the financial resilience to consider restarting investment in some of our deferred expansion projects when the timing is right. Those decisions would depend on our ongoing cost-cutting success as well as fiscal and regulatory certainty."
Currently, Cenovus anticipates capital spending of between $1.5 billion and $2.0 billion in 2016. The low end of the range would include capital for the completion of ongoing Christina Lake and Foster Creek expansion projects that are already well advanced. The high end of the range could include growth capital for the potential resumption of work at Christina Lake phase G and Foster Creek phase H, which were deferred earlier this year.
The company is currently developing its 2016 budget and intends to provide additional details in a news release scheduled for December 10, 2015.
Improving market access
Cenovus is working to develop new markets and businesses to help it gain greater control over a larger part of the value chain for its products. At the end of August, the company completed the acquisition of a crude-by-rail trans-loading facility at Bruderheim, Alberta that was announced in the second quarter. During its first full month of ownership, Cenovus and its third-party operator shipped 12 unit trains from the facility, including five unit trains loaded for contract customers.
To further enhance its market access, Cenovus continues to assess other strategic opportunities to capture global pricing for its oil and increase returns for shareholders.
Updating guidance
Cenovus has updated its 2015 full-year guidance to reflect actual results for the first nine months of the year and the company's estimates for the fourth quarter. The updated guidance, available at cenovus.com under "Investors," reflects Cenovus's expectations for lower capital spending at Foster Creek and better than anticipated oil sands and conventional operating costs compared with the company's prior guidance.
Leadership appointments
Cenovus has created the new position on its Leadership Team of Executive Vice-President, Business Innovation. Judy Fairburn has been appointed to the role effective December 1. She will be accountable for developing ground-breaking, cross-sector partnerships in areas of strategic importance to Cenovus. Fairburn has held various leadership roles within Cenovus and its predecessor companies. She has extensive experience building partnerships within the industry and with other sectors, including an integral role in the creation of Canada's Oil Sands Innovation Alliance (COSIA).
As previously announced as part of the Leadership Team retirement transition, Kerry Dyte will be stepping down as Executive Vice-President, General Counsel & Corporate Secretary on December 1. Al Reid, who has already joined the Leadership Team as Executive Vice-President, Environment, Corporate Affairs & Legal, will take on the role of General Counsel at that time. Gary Molnar, currently Vice-President Legal & Assistant Corporate Secretary, will become Vice-President, Legal, Assistant General Counsel & Corporate Secretary on December 1.
Third quarter details
Oil sands
Christina Lake
Foster Creek
Conventional oil
Natural gas
Downstream
Financial
Dividends
Corporate and financial information
Commodity price hedging
Other milestones
Conference Call Today
9 a.m. Mountain Time (11 a.m. Eastern Time)
Cenovus will host a conference call today, October 29, 2015, starting at 9 a.m. MT (11 a.m. ET). To participate, please dial 888-231-8191 (toll-free in North America) or 647-427-7450 approximately 10 minutes prior to the conference call. A live audio webcast of the conference call will also be available via cenovus.com. The webcast will be archived for approximately 90 days.
FINANCIAL INFORMATION
Basis of Presentation Cenovus reports financial results in Canadian dollars and presents production volumes on a net to Cenovus before royalties basis, unless otherwise stated. Cenovus prepares its financial statements in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS).
Non-GAAP Measures This news release contains references to non-GAAP measures as follows:
These measures do not have a standardized meaning as prescribed by International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS) and therefore are considered non-GAAP measures. These measures may not be comparable to similar measures presented by other issuers. These measures have been described and presented in this news release in order to provide shareholders and potential investors with additional information regarding Cenovus's liquidity and its ability to generate funds to finance its operations. This information should not be considered in isolation or as a substitute for measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. For further information, refer to Cenovus's third quarter 2015 Management's Discussion & Analysis (MD&A) available at cenovus.com.
OIL AND GAS INFORMATION
Netbacks reported in this news release are calculated as set out in the Annual Information Form (AIF). Heavy oil prices and transportation and blending costs exclude the costs of purchased condensate, which is blended with heavy oil. For the third quarter of 2015, the cost of condensate on a per barrel of unblended crude oil basis was as follows: Christina Lake - $26.42 and Foster Creek - $24.20.
ADVISORY
FORWARD-LOOKING INFORMATION
This document contains certain forward-looking statements and other information (collectively "forward-looking information") about Cenovus's current expectations, estimates and projections, made in light of the company's experience and perception of historical trends. Forward-looking information in this document is identified by words such as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "plan", "forecast" or "F", "target", "projected", "future", "guidance", "could", "should", "focus", "position", "on track", "proposed", "schedule", "potential", "capacity", "may", "strategy", "opportunities", "priority", "outlook" or similar expressions and includes suggestions of future outcomes, including statements about: the strength of the company's position under various potential conditions to fund its planned capital programs and current dividend level; potential resumption of investment in certain projects; adequacy of the company's liquidity to manage through the current low-price environment; growth strategy and related schedules, including priorities and focus; projections contained in the company's updated 2015 guidance; forecast operating and financial results; planned capital expenditures, capital investment priorities and expected conditions for future capital investments; project capacities; expected future production, including the timing, stability or growth thereof; improving cost structures, including cost reduction targets, and the expected timing, sustainability and potential impacts of anticipated cost savings; the expected timing and potential impacts of the company's transition to a new functional model; acquisition and disposition strategy; forecast natural gas use at operations; expected SOR; broadening market access and potential impacts thereof, including with respect to shareholder returns; expected increase in production capacity through optimization activity and expansion projects; dividend plans and dividend strategy, including with respect to the dividend reinvestment plan; forecasted commodity prices; targeted future debt to capitalization ratio and debt to adjusted EBITDA; and projected shareholder value. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking information, as the company's actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied.
Developing forward-looking information involves reliance on a number of assumptions and consideration of certain risks and uncertainties, some of which are specific to Cenovus and others that apply to the industry generally.
The factors or assumptions on which the forward-looking information is based include: assumptions disclosed in Cenovus's current guidance, available at cenovus.com; the company's projected capital investment levels, the flexibility of the company's capital spending plans and the associated source of funding; estimates of quantities of oil, bitumen, natural gas and liquids from properties and other sources not currently classified as proved; the company's ability to obtain necessary regulatory and partner approvals; the successful and timely implementation of capital projects or stages thereof; the company's ability to generate sufficient cash flow to meet its current and future obligations; and other risks and uncertainties described from time to time in the filings we make with securities regulatory authorities.
2015 guidance assumes: an average diluted number of shares outstanding of approximately 819 million and 833 million for 2015 and the fourth quarter of 2015, respectively; Brent of US$54.75/bbl; WTI of US$49.70/bbl; WCS of US$36.30/bbl; NYMEX of US$2.75/MMBtu; AECO of $2.65/GJ; Chicago 3-2-1 crack spread of US$18.10/bbl; and an exchange rate of $0.78 US$/C$.
The risk factors and uncertainties that could cause Cenovus's actual results to differ materially include: volatility of and assumptions regarding oil and natural gas prices; the effectiveness of the company's risk management program, including the impact of derivative financial instruments, the success of the company's hedging strategies and the sufficiency of its liquidity position; the accuracy of cost estimates; fluctuations in commodity prices, currency and interest rates; fluctuations in product supply and demand; market competition, including from alternative energy sources; risks inherent in Cenovus's marketing operations, including credit risks; risks inherent to operation of the company's crude-by-rail terminal, including health, safety and environmental risks; maintaining desirable ratios of debt to adjusted EBITDA, net debt to adjusted EBITDA, debt to capitalization and net debt to capitalization; ability to access various sources of debt and equity capital, generally, and on terms acceptable to Cenovus; changes in credit ratings applicable to Cenovus or any of its securities; changes to Cenovus's dividend plans or strategy, including the dividend reinvestment plan; accuracy of Cenovus's reserves, resources and future production estimates; ability to replace and expand oil and gas reserves; ability to maintain the company's relationships with its partners and to successfully manage and operate its integrated heavy oil business; reliability of the company's assets; potential disruption or unexpected technical difficulties in developing new products and manufacturing processes; refining and marketing margins; potential failure of new products to achieve acceptance in the market; unexpected cost increases or technical difficulties in constructing or modifying manufacturing or refining facilities; unexpected difficulties in producing, transporting or refining of crude oil into petroleum and chemical products; risks associated with technology and its application to Cenovus's business; the timing and the costs of well and pipeline construction; the company's ability to secure adequate product transportation, including sufficient crude-by-rail or other alternate transportation; changes in the regulatory framework in any of the locations in which Cenovus operates, including changes to the regulatory approval process and land-use designations, royalty, tax, environmental, greenhouse gas, carbon and other laws or regulations, or changes to the interpretation of such laws and regulations, as adopted or proposed, the impact thereof and the costs associated with compliance; the expected impact and timing of various accounting pronouncements, rule changes and standards on Cenovus's business, its financial results and its consolidated financial statements; changes in the general economic, market and business conditions; the political and economic conditions in the countries in which Cenovus operates; the occurrence of unexpected events such as war, terrorist threats and the instability resulting therefrom; and risks associated with existing and potential future lawsuits and regulatory actions against Cenovus.
Readers are cautioned that the foregoing lists are not exhaustive and are made as at the date hereof. For a full discussion of Cenovus's material risk factors, see "Risk Factors" in our AIF or Form 40-F for the year ended December 31, 2014 and "Risk Management" in our current and annual Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A), available on SEDAR at sedar.com, EDGAR at sec.gov and on the company's website at cenovus.com.
TM denotes a trademark of Cenovus Energy Inc.
Cenovus Energy Inc.
Cenovus Energy Inc. is a Canadian integrated oil company. It is committed to applying fresh, progressive thinking to safely and responsibly unlock energy resources the world needs. Operations include oil sands projects in northern Alberta, which use specialized methods to drill and pump the oil to the surface, and established natural gas and oil production in Alberta and Saskatchewan. The company also has 50% ownership in two U.S. refineries. Cenovus shares trade under the symbol CVE, and are listed on the Toronto and New York stock exchanges. Its enterprise value is approximately $18 billion. For more information, visit cenovus.com.
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SOURCE Cenovus Energy Inc.
Image with caption: "Steam generators at Cenovuss Foster Creek project in northern Alberta. The project uses a process called steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) to produce oil, which involves drilling into the reservoir and injecting steam at a low pressure to soften the oil so it can be pumped to the surface. (CNW Group/Cenovus Energy Inc.)". Image available at: http://photos.newswire.ca/images/download/20151029_C5856_PHOTO_EN_530511.jpg
Image with caption: "Cenovus's Christina Lake project in northern Alberta uses steam-assisted gravity drainage (SAGD) technology to produce oil. The process involves drilling into the reservoir and injecting steam at a low pressure to soften the oil so it can be pumped to the surface. (CNW Group/Cenovus Energy Inc.)". Image available at: http://photos.newswire.ca/images/download/20151029_C5856_PHOTO_EN_530513.jpg
CENOVUS CONTACTS: Investor Relations, Kam Sandhar, Director, Investor Relations, 403-766-5883; Graham Ingram, Manager, Investor Relations, 403-766-2849; Steve Murray, Senior Analyst, Investor Relations, 403-766-3382; Media, Brett Harris, Media Lead, 403-766-3420; Reg Curren, Senior Media Advisor, 403-766-2004; General media line, 403-766-7751
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