Morneau Shepell releases its Performance Universe of Pension Managers' Pooled Funds results

Tough third quarter for pension funds

MONTREAL, Oct. 23, 2015 /CNW/ - Morneau Shepell (TSX: MSI) has released the results of its Performance Universe of Pension Managers' Pooled Funds for the third quarter of 2015.

According to the report, in the third quarter of 2015, diversified pooled fund managers posted a median return of negative 2.9 per cent before management fees. The median year-to-date return was 1.6 per cent.

"Pension funds had a difficult third quarter because stock and bond markets were down," said Jean Bergeron, Partner responsible for Morneau Shepell's Asset and Risk Management Consulting team.

"In addition, pension fund financial positions on a solvency basis have fallen by about 6 per cent since the beginning of the year due to poor stock market performance and the decrease in the interest rates used to determine the solvency liability," said Bergeron. "The lower rates have increased the solvency liability much more than anticipated."

On average, during the third quarter of 2015, diversified pooled fund managers posted the same return as the benchmark. In fact, the median return (negative 2.9 per cent) for these managers was equal to the benchmark portfolio (with an allocation of 55 per cent in equity and 45 per cent in fixed income) and a return of negative 2.9 per cent used by many pension funds.

Canadian bonds
In the third quarter of 2015, managers obtained a median return of 0.1 per cent on bonds (Universe mandate) which was equal to the benchmark FTSE TMX Canada Universe Bond Index return (0.1 per cent).

During the same period, long-term bonds posted a return of negative 0.1 per cent, while the return for medium-term bonds was 0.8 per cent and for short-term bonds 0.0 per cent. High-yield bonds posted negative 5.2 per cent, while real return bonds provided a negative 1.3 per cent return.

Canadian equities
During the third quarter of 2015, the median return for Canadian equity managers was negative 5.9 per cent, compared to the S&P/TSX Index negative 7.9 per cent.

During that same period, the S&P/TSX Small Cap Index decreased by 15.2 per cent, whereas the S&P/TSX Completion Index representing mid-cap stocks decreased by 11.2 per cent, and the large-cap S&P/TSX 60 Index posted a loss of 6.7 per cent.

Foreign equities
Foreign equity managers' median returns and appropriate benchmark indices for the third quarter of 2015 are as follows:

• 0.1 per cent for U.S. equities versus 0.0 per cent for the S&P 500 Index (C$);
• negative 3.3 per cent for international equities versus negative 3.6 per cent for the MSCI EAFE Index (C$);
• negative 1.9 per cent for global equities versus negative 1.7 per cent for the MSCI World Index (C$);
• negative 9.7 per cent for emerging markets equities versus negative 11.7 per cent for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index (C$).

Alternative investments
The Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index (previously CSFB/Tremont Hedge Fund Index) posted a return of 4.1 per cent (C$) for the third quarter of 2015.

The Performance Universe covers about 362 pooled funds managed by nearly 50 investment management firms. The pooled funds included in the Universe have a market value of more than $283 billion.

The results of Morneau Shepell's study are based on the returns provided by leading portfolio managers, ranging from independent investment management firms to insurance companies, trust companies and financial institutions. The returns are calculated before deduction of management fees.

The quarterly Performance Universe results are produced by the Asset & Risk Management Consulting team at Morneau Shepell. This team provides independent consulting services on all aspects of asset and liability management of pension funds, endowment funds, and other institutional investment funds.

About Morneau Shepell Inc.
Morneau Shepell is the largest company in Canada offering human resources consulting and outsourcing services. The Company is the leading provider of Employee and Family Assistance Programs, as well as the largest administrator of pension and benefits plans. Through health and productivity, administrative, and retirement solutions, Morneau Shepell helps clients reduce costs, increase employee productivity, and improve their competitive position. Established in 1966, Morneau Shepell serves approximately 21,000 clients, ranging from small businesses to some of the largest corporations and associations in North America.  With almost 4,000 employees in offices across North America, Morneau Shepell provides services to organizations across Canada, in the United States, and around the globe. Morneau Shepell is a publicly traded company on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX: MSI).
For more information, visit morneaushepell.com.

Summary
Rates of return for periods ending September 30, 2015 (annualized returns beyond one year)
Diversified
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				-0.51	-1.53	5.05	8.27	12.26	12.98	12.63		10.67
	1st quartile				-1.84	-3.05	3.50	6.07	11.16	11.51	11.36		9.32
	Median				-2.86	-3.99	1.63	4.43	9.72	10.67	10.70		8.38
	3rd quartile				-3.57	-4.70	0.36	1.77	8.42	9.20	9.58		7.68
	95th percentile				-5.29	-6.56	-5.47	-6.45	3.74	6.50	6.44		5.12
	Benchmark*				-2.91	-4.94	1.15	3.61	9.24	8.29	8.71		7.36
	Benchmark**				-3.18	-5.12	1.04	3.36	9.39	8.70	9.07		7.50
	*     2% 91-day T-Bills. 21.5% FTSE TMX Canada Long Term, 21.5% FTSE TMX CANADA Universe, 27.5% S&P/TSX, 27.5% MSCI ACWI (C$)
	**   2% 91-day T-Bills. 19% FTSE TMX Canada Long Term, 19% FTSE TMX CANADA Universe, 30% S&P/TSX, 30% MSCI ACWI (C$)
		Returns compounded quarterly
Money market
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				0.27	0.54	1.50	2.19	1.87	1.38	1.40		1.39
	1st quartile				0.22	0.47	0.85	1.17	1.23	1.19	1.20		1.22
	Median				0.20	0.44	0.76	1.06	1.13	1.15	1.16		1.17
	3rd quartile				0.17	0.36	0.71	0.99	1.09	1.10	1.12		1.13
	95th percentile				-0.13	0.05	0.60	0.85	0.94	0.98	1.00		1.02
	FTSE TMX CANADA T-Bill 91 days				0.15	0.30	0.54	0.77	0.85	0.92	0.92		0.94
Canadian bonds
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				0.39	-0.68	2.85	7.60	9.55	4.76	6.91		7.08
	1st quartile				0.16	-1.40	2.61	5.42	6.38	4.02	5.14		5.55
	Median				0.00	-1.63	2.37	5.07	5.82	3.65	4.43		4.82
	3rd quartile				-0.35	-2.23	1.99	4.27	5.53	3.38	4.07		4.57
	95th percentile				-2.59	-4.95	0.37	-0.01	3.13	2.27	2.86		3.85
	FTSE TMX CANADA Universe				0.15	-1.57	2.52	5.29	5.81	3.39	3.90		4.45
Canadian bonds (Universe mandate)
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				0.38	-1.06	2.82	5.63	6.51	4.39	4.75		5.11
	1st quartile				0.20	-1.39	2.61	5.33	6.03	3.76	4.43		4.83
	Median				0.11	-1.51	2.48	5.10	5.82	3.53	4.19		4.72
	3rd quartile				-0.02	-1.70	2.18	4.80	5.65	3.37	4.01		4.50
	95th percentile				-0.34	-2.15	1.80	3.96	5.40	3.08	3.79		4.31
	FTSE TMX CANADA Universe				0.15	-1.57	2.52	5.29	5.81	3.39	3.90		4.45

Rates of return for periods ending September 30, 2015 (annualized returns beyond one year)
Mortgages
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				0.74	1.40	2.84	4.28	4.93	4.42	4.22		4.67
	1st quartile				0.51	0.95	2.34	3.55	4.23	3.86	3.79		4.32
	Median				0.21	0.37	1.72	2.64	3.37	3.15	3.26		3.89
	3rd quartile				-0.08	-0.20	1.10	1.73	2.50	2.45	2.72		3.45
	95th percentile				-0.31	-0.66	0.60	1.01	1.81	1.89	2.30		3.10
	FTSE TMX CANADA Mortgage Market				0.84	1.70	2.72	3.60	4.34	4.05	4.38		4.31
Canadian equity – Broad*
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				-2.77	-3.66	1.92	3.18	12.66	15.25	14.14		9.54
	1st quartile				-4.64	-6.27	-2.86	-2.17	9.16	11.17	10.92		7.88
	Median				-5.90	-7.45	-4.65	-4.65	7.26	8.76	9.77		6.53
	3rd quartile				-7.60	-8.80	-6.98	-9.47	4.35	6.69	7.85		5.20
	95th percentile				-10.27	-11.61	-11.46	-14.27	-0.37	3.33	5.15		3.33
	S&P/TSX				-7.86	-9.36	-7.02	-8.38	5.02	5.71	6.57		4.46
	S&P/TSX Capped				-7.86	-9.36	-7.02	-8.38	5.02	5.71	6.57		4.46
	*     Some funds may include up to 30% in foreign content
Canadian equity - Specialized
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				-9.15	-7.11	-3.34	-6.44	10.67	14.61	14.85		10.95
	1st quartile				-11.33	-10.65	-5.16	-8.88	7.86	12.23	11.65		8.48
	Median				-12.06	-11.19	-6.68	-10.58	4.34	7.57	10.09		7.38
	3rd quartile				-13.77	-11.80	-9.71	-15.59	0.08	5.64	6.39		4.27
	95th percentile				-15.86	-13.29	-15.67	-19.55	-3.69	0.59	4.93		3.17
	S&P/TSX Small Cap				-15.17	-14.05	-14.27	-21.75	-5.40	-4.07	-1.73		-2.74
	BMO Small Cap weighted				-14.74	-13.94	-13.93	-20.18	-4.07	-2.88	-0.02		-0.49
U.S. equity
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years		5 years
	5th percentile				1.96	1.03	14.46	26.90	27.50	29.26	26.84		22.68
	1st quartile				0.74	-0.30	11.08	22.78	24.96	25.89	25.27		20.18
	Median				0.05	-1.49	10.10	20.10	23.46	25.10	24.38		19.31
	3rd quartile				-2.08	-2.71	6.67	17.71	20.92	22.82	22.04		17.31
	95th percentile				-5.62	-5.41	-0.34	4.73	14.84	17.55	18.00		14.63
	S&P 500 (C$)				-0.03	-1.15	8.95	18.42	24.15	24.45	23.87		19.39

Rates of return for periods ending September 30, 2015 (annualized returns beyond one year)
International equity (Europe and Asia)
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years	5 years
	5th percentile				1.66	2.32	20.32	25.31	18.76	22.15	19.50	14.72
	1st quartile				-2.43	-2.17	12.29	14.00	13.98	18.29	16.96	11.91
	Median				-3.27	-3.10	11.07	12.05	12.51	17.59	15.48	10.26
	3rd quartile				-5.04	-5.48	8.07	7.43	11.00	16.63	14.68	9.63
	95th percentile				-8.82	-9.68	2.74	3.50	6.99	11.72	11.60	7.52
	MSCI EAEO (C$)				-3.60	-4.39	9.65	9.58	11.45	17.11	14.60	9.70
Global equity (U.S.A., Europe and Asia)
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years	5 years
	5th percentile				2.51	2.43	16.39	23.96	22.19	25.36	22.84	18.63
	1st quartile				-0.59	-1.48	10.88	17.06	18.58	22.04	20.41	15.70
	Median				-1.88	-2.25	9.36	14.73	17.16	19.91	18.72	14.35
	3rd quartile				-4.15	-3.72	7.33	11.09	15.58	18.14	17.01	12.86
	95th percentile				-5.13	-6.01	4.09	5.80	8.40	16.19	14.56	10.21
	MSCI Monde (C$)				-1.68	-2.78	8.76	13.86	17.85	20.37	18.96	14.24
Emerging markets
					3 months	6 months	9 months	1 year	2 years	3 years	4 years	5 years
	5th percentile				-3.49	-2.92	2.73	4.40	11.63	10.96	12.16	7.24
	1st quartile				-7.57	-8.86	1.67	0.91	9.46	7.50	8.51	4.16
	Median				-9.69	-10.68	-0.31	-1.68	5.39	6.03	7.01	2.79
	3rd quartile				-11.39	-11.92	-2.03	-3.55	3.95	3.35	5.80	1.27
	95th percentile				-13.04	-14.04	-6.33	-7.94	1.60	1.61	3.82	-0.01
	MSCI Emerging markets				-11.70	-12.25	-1.86	-2.81	5.16	5.39	6.72	2.07

The information herein has been drawn from sources believed to be reliable, but the accuracy or completeness of the information is not guaranteed, nor in providing it does Morneau Shepell Asset & Risk Management Ltd. ("MS ARM") or its affiliates ("Morneau Shepell") assume any responsibility or liability. MS ARM or Morneau Shepell is not liable for any errors or omissions in the information or for any loss or damage suffered. Where such statements are based in whole or in part on information provided by third parties, they are not guaranteed to be accurate or complete. The information does not provide individual financial, legal, tax or investment advice and is for information purposes only.

SOURCE Morneau Shepell Inc.

Josée St-Pierre, Senior consultant, Marketing, 514-392-7862, [email protected]; Jean Bergeron, FSA, FICA, CFA, Partner, 514-392-7852, [email protected]